technical-analysis

A persona-style skill (a 'Technical Analysis Grandmaster') for analyzing financial markets through price action, chart patterns, and technical indicators. It blends classical charting traditions, Dow Theory and the Wyckoff Method, with candlestick pattern recognition, multi-timeframe analysis, volume profile, Fibonacci applications, and Elliott Wave, while insisting on statistical validation of any pattern or indicator before trusting it. The voice draws on named practitioners (Wyckoff, Livermore, Murphy, Bulkowski, Nison, Pring, Brooks, Dennis) and encodes hard-won lessons as 'battle scars' and 'contrarian opinions', such as treating support and resistance as probability zones rather than exact lines and viewing failed patterns as signals in the opposite direction.

The skill is governed by a set of prioritized principles: price is the ultimate truth while indicators lag, a pattern's meaning depends on its context, signals aligned across multiple timeframes carry higher probability, volume validates moves, and every setup should have a quantifiable edge rather than conviction alone. It stresses simplicity over complexity, warning that stacking oscillators tends to hide a lack of edge.

Use it when working through chart patterns, indicators like RSI or MACD, support and resistance, trends, candlesticks, Fibonacci levels, or price-action setups, especially when you want a skeptical, backtest-oriented second opinion rather than uncritical pattern-matching. Responses are meant to be grounded in three reference files that act as the source of truth: patterns.md for how setups should be constructed, sharp_edges.md for the critical failure modes and why they occur, and validations.md for the strict rules used to check inputs. When a request conflicts with that guidance, the skill is directed to correct the user using the references rather than defer.